Odds Alpha #5
The run continues… We played it safe last week, with few clear bets really standing out to me. City preyed on a vulnerable Newcastle side at the Etihad, looking dominant in their 2-0 victory as predicted. Well done to all of you who got on. After 4 weeks of results, our strike rate stands at 55%, with 6 winning bets from only 11 selections.
Soccer
On Wednesday evening, we are spoiled by a couple of monumental Champions League second legs, including another meeting between Bayern Munich and PSG. However, the tie that excites me the most will be hosted in North London, The Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, as AC Milan pay a visit with a 1-0 lead. Heung Min Son has told the press this is one of the most important games in his career. I agree. Spurs have been in great form at home of late, picking up victories against both Chelsea (granted they have been poor recently, but had a good record against Tottenham) and a 1-0 victory against Man City. I am confident that Tottenham will win, but I think it will be a low scoring game that will go to extra time.
The Selection: Tottenham to win & Under 2.5 Goals in the match @ 4.22
The Details: 8pm GMT on Wednesday 8th March
Link: bet here
Rugby
This weekend, the Six Nations will return for its fourth round of fixtures. The two headline clashes, England vs. France and Scotland vs. Ireland, are both mouthwatering. I don’t have an angle for the game in Edinburgh, but England vs. France strikes as a good opportunity for a bet.
France find themselves in a slightly worse vein of form compared to their Grand Slam winning year in 2022, which concerns me with their home World Cup this autumn. England, on the other hand, seem to be sneakily building momentum and trust between this new squad brought together under Steve Borthwick. I think this game comes at a perfect time for England, to propel them into a potentially title winning game against Ireland at the Aviva next week. The Twickenham crowd will be pumped up for the cringely named “Le Crunch” and I believe England will get over the line ahead.
The Selection: England to win vs. France @ 2.19
The Details: 4.45pm GMT on Saturday 11th March
Link: bet here
Golf
Golf’s “Fifth Major” also kicks off this Thursday, as some of the world’s top players will meet for The Players Championship at Sawgrass.
It’s going to be another fantastic tournament, with players at the top of the World Rankings all seemingly coming to recent tournaments in great form. I think Scheffler, Rahm and McIlroy being grouped together in the first two rounds will be to their detriment, as it will increase the pressure when they will want to be feeling relaxed. Thus, my eyes are drawn immediately to the Thomas, Spieth and Homa group. I think these 3 will go slightly under the radar, which is incredible because they are such top players (Thomas a past champion here as well). Max Homa has been in top form this season, picking up a win in the Farmers Insurance Open as well as a 2nd place finish at the Genesis Invitational behind World No. 1 Jon Rahm.
At 20/1, and with a T13 in this event last year, Homa can really stake his name here and be crowned champion.
The Selection: Max Homa EW at 20/1
The Details: The Players’ Championship, starts Thursday 9th March